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DTN Early Word Livestock Comments      05/08 06:15
   Traders Wait For Further Cash Sales

   Cattle futures took a breather Wednesday as traders want to see cash trade
develop before further committing to supporting the market. Hog traders were
uncertain of a price direction with a mixed close. Cash and cutouts did not
provide support.

Robin Schmahl
DTN Contributing Analyst

   Cattle: Higher         Futures: Mixed      Live Equiv: $253.56 +$0.95*

   Hogs: Lower           Futures: Mixed     Lean Equiv: $101.09 -$0.16**

   *Based on the formula estimating live cattle equivalent of gross packer
revenue. (The Live Cattle Equiv. The index has been updated to depict recent
changes in live cattle weights and grading percentages.)

   ** based on formula estimating lean hog equivalent of gross packer revenue.

GENERAL COMMENTS:

   No further cash cattle trade took place on Wednesday, leaving traders
unwilling to push nearby futures higher. However, the December and later live
cattle contracts made new highs before slipping back. Price optimism remains,
but increased caution is developing due to the record-high prices. Cattle
prices will not fall back due to an increase in cattle supplies anytime soon.
Prices will fall back when demand slows. Consumers will not continue to pay
higher beef prices indefinitely, but will reduce consumption. So far, there has
been no evidence of this, as boxed beef prices remain strong with choice up
$1.48 and select up $1.03 on Wednesday. Feeder cattle are in strong demand as
auction prices continue to increase weekly.
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Futures and commodities trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Information herein is strictly the opinion of its author and is intended for informational purposes. Information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable but is in no way guaranteed. Neither Northern Crops Marketing nor its employees are liable or responsible for its use. Opinions, data, and recommendations are subject to change; past performance is not indicative of future results.
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